Speculative · one version of it going well
Six years after the first cohort. This is not a forecast — it's a picture of what success would actually look like if the model worked, drawn to be modest enough to be believable. Drag the year, or press play and watch the land change use.
Population — against the line it was on
The measure of success was never growth. It was the moment the line stopped falling.
Through the programme
Land use
176 households over six years is not a boom. It's roughly four hundred people in a town of twenty-two thousand — under two percent. That is deliberately what success looks like here: enough arrivals, concentrated closely enough in time and place, to reopen a kindergarten and make a café viable. A picture showing the town doubling would be a fantasy, and anyone who knows these towns would stop reading.
Three businesses opened and closed. Twelve percent of arrived households left again. One housing cluster never reached its threshold and the land is still paddy. These are on the map on purpose — a version of the future with no failures in it is marketing, and the whole argument of this project is that the honest version is more persuasive than the polished one.